ATP tennis predict — Cezar Cretu vs Niels Mcdonald

Challenger Clay Augsburg challenger · 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Cezar Cretu

Romania

53.60%

Niels Mcdonald

Germany

46.40%

Average Odds

1.79 / 1.93

Market probability

51.88% / 48.12%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1576.7 Elo 1559.2

1573.9 Elo (surface) 1584.8

56 Wins (Challenger) 9

56 Wins (surface) 9

6 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.027 Dominance ratio 1.010

289 Rank 490

25.3 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Cezar Cretu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Niels Mcdonald

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cezar Cretu Niels Mcdonald

1st Serve In %

60.4%

64.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

59.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

33.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.3%

46.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.1%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.4%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cezar Cretu Niels Mcdonald

Break Points Saved %

57.9%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.4%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

63.3%

Break Points Converted %

53.6%

49.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Cezar Cretu 1 – 0 Niels Mcdonald

Clay Augsburg challenger · 2026-08-25

1. round

Cezar Cretu #289

Niels Mcdonald #490

6-2 6-0

6 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 0

48 Service Points 53

30 First Serve In 29

20 First Serve Won 14

11 Second Serve Won 6

2 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Clay Targu Mures challenger · 2026-06-25

QF

Cezar Cretu #287

Niels Mcdonald #620

6-3 6-4

3 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 3

50 Service Points 63

27 First Serve In 37

18 First Serve Won 20

11 Second Serve Won 9

3 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Cezar Cretu vs Niels Mcdonald — Prediction