ATP tennis predict — Cezar Cretu vs Miguel Damas

Challenger Clay Augsburg challenger · R16 13:30

Predicted probability

Cezar Cretu

Romania

58.80%

Miguel Damas

Spain

41.20%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.63

Market probability

64.62% / 35.38%

Why This Prediction?

Cezar Cretu is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1594 vs 1531), a higher Elo rating (1595 vs 1502) and more aces per game (0.13 vs 0.07).

Player Comparison

1594.6 Elo 1502.0

1593.8 Elo (surface) 1531.1

57 Wins (Challenger) 65

57 Wins (surface) 53

6 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.149 Dominance ratio 1.087

289 Rank 313

25.3 Age 26.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Cezar Cretu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Miguel Damas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–8L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cezar Cretu Miguel Damas

1st Serve In %

60.4%

67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

53.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

46.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%

36.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

62.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.3%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.1%

42.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.4%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cezar Cretu Miguel Damas

Break Points Saved %

57.9%

46.9%

Break Points Converted %

41.4%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

60.8%

Break Points Converted %

53.6%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Cezar Cretu 0 – 0 Miguel Damas

Clay Augsburg challenger · 2026-08-26

R16

Cezar Cretu #289

Miguel Damas #313

7-6 7-6

8 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 3

96 Service Points 84

59 First Serve In 53

36 First Serve Won 31

20 Second Serve Won 16

8 Break Points Saved 3

12 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Cezar Cretu vs Miguel Damas — Prediction