ATP tennis predict — Cezar Cretu vs Maxim Mrva

Challenger Clay Prague 2 challenger · R16 12:20

Predicted probability

Cezar Cretu

Romania

28.70%

Maxim Mrva

Czech Republic

71.30%

Average Odds

2.48 / 1.49

Market probability

37.53% / 62.47%

Why This Prediction?

Maxim Mrva is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1758 vs 1584), a higher Elo rating (1738 vs 1588) and a stronger return game (47.7% vs 41.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1587.9 Elo 1737.8

1584.3 Elo (surface) 1758.4

56 Wins (Challenger) 51

56 Wins (surface) 36

7 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.035 Dominance ratio 1.151

266 Rank 309

25.3 Age 19.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Cezar Cretu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Maxim Mrva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–3L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cezar Cretu Maxim Mrva

1st Serve In %

60.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.53

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

61.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.3%

48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.1%

40.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.4%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cezar Cretu Maxim Mrva

Break Points Saved %

57.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

41.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

47.9%

Break Points Converted %

53.6%

48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Cezar Cretu 0 – 0 Maxim Mrva

Clay Prague 2 challenger · 2026-08-19

R16

Maxim Mrva #309

Cezar Cretu #266

6-1 6-2

0 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 2

56 Service Points 51

37 First Serve In 25

19 First Serve Won 19

8 Second Serve Won 18

2 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Cezar Cretu vs Maxim Mrva — Prediction