ATP tennis predict — Cezar Cretu vs Marvin Moeller

Challenger Clay Augsburg challenger · QF 17:00

Predicted probability

Cezar Cretu

Romania

39.30%

Marvin Moeller

Germany

60.70%

Average Odds

2.38 / 1.53

Market probability

39.13% / 60.87%

Why This Prediction?

Marvin Moeller is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1758 vs 1610) and a higher Elo rating (1746 vs 1608).

Player Comparison

1608.4 Elo 1746.5

1609.6 Elo (surface) 1757.6

58 Wins (Challenger) 73

58 Wins (surface) 48

7 Last 15 form 12

1 Head-to-head wins 1

1.125 Dominance ratio 1.025

289 Rank 274

25.3 Age 27.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Cezar Cretu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Marvin Moeller

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cezar Cretu Marvin Moeller

1st Serve In %

60.4%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

56.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

42.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

37.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

73.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.3%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.1%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.4%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cezar Cretu Marvin Moeller

Break Points Saved %

57.9%

54.5%

Break Points Converted %

41.4%

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

58.6%

Break Points Converted %

53.6%

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Cezar Cretu 1 – 1 Marvin Moeller

Clay Augsburg challenger · 2026-08-27

QF

Cezar Cretu #289

Marvin Moeller #274

6-4 6-3

2 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 4

65 Service Points 53

40 First Serve In 29

28 First Serve Won 21

15 Second Serve Won 9

3 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Clay Hamburg challenger · 2026-08-10

1. round

Marvin Moeller #319

Cezar Cretu #260

6-1 5-7 6-4

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Clay Cordenons CH · 2024-08-05

R32

Cezar Cretu #293

Marvin Moeller #305

6-4 6-1

3 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 5

53 Service Points 53

33 First Serve In 31

21 First Serve Won 21

12 Second Serve Won 4

5 Break Points Saved 4

7 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Cezar Cretu vs Marvin Moeller — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Cezar Cretu — Last 10

Marvin Moeller — Last 10