ATP tennis predict — Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Quinn Vandecasteele

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Cesar Bouchelaghem

France

42.46%

Quinn Vandecasteele

USA

57.54%

Average Odds

1.95 / 1.65

Market probability

45.83% / 54.17%

Why This Prediction?

Quinn Vandecasteele is the favorite because he has more wins on hard courts (37 vs 3), more career match wins (44 vs 3) and a stronger serve (64.1% vs 58.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1424.2 Elo 1402.9

1462.1 Elo (surface) 1429.8

3 Wins (Challenger) 44

3 Wins (surface) 37

3 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.823 Dominance ratio 1.139

507 Rank 458

22.1 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Cesar Bouchelaghem

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Quinn Vandecasteele

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cesar Bouchelaghem Quinn Vandecasteele

1st Serve In %

—

54.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

42.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.84

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.2%

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.1%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

53.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.2%

33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.3%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cesar Bouchelaghem Quinn Vandecasteele

Break Points Saved %

—

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.5%

58.2%

Break Points Converted %

39.0%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Cesar Bouchelaghem 0 – 0 Quinn Vandecasteele

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-27

qualification - 1. round

Quinn Vandecasteele #454

Cesar Bouchelaghem #502

6-1 6-4

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 1.9

Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Quinn Vandecasteele — Prediction