ATP tennis predict — Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

ATP Hard Montreal · 2. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Casper Ruud

Norway

67.80%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Argentina

32.20%

Average Odds

1.36 / 3.12

Market probability

69.64% / 30.36%

Why This Prediction?

Casper Ruud is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1689 vs 1562), a higher Elo rating (1869 vs 1827) and more wins on hard courts (155 vs 12).

Player Comparison

1869.0 Elo 1826.6

1689.2 Elo (surface) 1562.2

350 Wins 79

155 Wins (surface) 12

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 2

1.230 Dominance ratio 1.056

14 Rank 52

27.6 Age 24.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Casper Ruud

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Casper Ruud Juan Manuel Cerundolo

1st Serve In %

64.0%

55.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.1%

76.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.8%

53.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

28.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.1%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

57.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

74.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.7%

52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%

36.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.0%

53.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Casper Ruud Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Break Points Saved %

71.8%

63.6%

Break Points Converted %

38.3%

43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.2%

69.1%

Break Points Converted %

42.3%

46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Casper Ruud 0 – 2 Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-05

2. round

Casper Ruud #14

Juan Manuel Cerundolo #52

6-1 6-2

2 Aces 0

5 Double Faults 3

45 Service Points 36

28 First Serve In 15

23 First Serve Won 9

10 Second Serve Won 7

0 Break Points Saved 1

0 Break Points Faced 5

22 Winners 7

16 Unforced Errors 18

1.4 Average Odds 3.1

Clay Gstaad · 2026-07-17

QF

Juan Manuel Cerundolo #45

Casper Ruud #13

3-6 7-5 6-2

2 Aces 4

6 Double Faults 2

85 Service Points 83

46 First Serve In 54

38 First Serve Won 38

17 Second Serve Won 15

4 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 8

18 Winners 32

33 Unforced Errors 47

3.4 Average Odds 1.3

Clay Gstaad · 2025-07-14

QF

Juan Manuel Cerundolo #109

Casper Ruud #13

6-2 1-6 6-3

3 Aces 4

5 Double Faults 0

87 Service Points 79

55 First Serve In 54

34 First Serve Won 33

12 Second Serve Won 9

10 Break Points Saved 3

15 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo — Prediction