ATP tennis predict — Carlos Taberner vs Petr Nesterov

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 1. round 09:00

Predicted probability

Carlos Taberner

Spain

59.06%

Petr Nesterov

Bulgaria

40.94%

Average Odds

1.50 / 2.48

Market probability

62.31% / 37.69%

Why This Prediction?

Carlos Taberner is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1764 vs 1612), a higher Elo rating (1733 vs 1629) and more wins on clay courts (240 vs 28).

Player Comparison

1733.5 Elo 1629.0

1763.8 Elo (surface) 1612.5

256 Wins (Challenger) 37

240 Wins (surface) 28

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.091 Dominance ratio 0.737

425 Rank 300

29.1 Age 23.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Carlos Taberner

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-07-28.

Petr Nesterov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlos Taberner Petr Nesterov

1st Serve In %

61.9%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

37.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

32.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

56.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

43.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlos Taberner Petr Nesterov

Break Points Saved %

47.0%

64.3%

Break Points Converted %

39.4%

26.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.8%

49.4%

Break Points Converted %

36.1%

40.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Carlos Taberner 0 – 0 Petr Nesterov

Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 2026-09-22

1. round

Carlos Taberner #425

Petr Nesterov #300

6-4 1-6 6-0

2 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

27 First Serve Won 30

11 Second Serve Won 8

0 Break Points Saved 6

3 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Carlos Taberner vs Petr Nesterov — Prediction