ATP tennis predict — Carlos Taberner vs Marko Topo

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · R16 17:00

Predicted probability

Carlos Taberner

Spain

51.18%

Marko Topo

Germany

48.82%

Average Odds

2.18 / 1.63

Market probability

42.78% / 57.22%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1462.7 Elo 1562.3

1706.1 Elo (surface) 1565.9

253 Wins (Challenger) 73

237 Wins (surface) 57

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.219 Dominance ratio 0.946

409 Rank 346

29.0 Age 22.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Carlos Taberner

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-07-28.

Marko Topo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlos Taberner Marko Topo

1st Serve In %

61.9%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

66.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

68.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlos Taberner Marko Topo

Break Points Saved %

47.0%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

39.4%

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.8%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

36.1%

46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Carlos Taberner 0 – 0 Marko Topo

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-06

R16

Carlos Taberner #409

Marko Topo #346

3-6 6-3 6-3

4 Aces 5

3 Double Faults 3

77 Service Points 95

51 First Serve In 55

36 First Serve Won 36

15 Second Serve Won 21

3 Break Points Saved 7

5 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Carlos Taberner vs Marko Topo — Prediction