ATP tennis predict — Carlos Taberner vs Jan Kumstat

Challenger Clay Hamburg challenger · QF 13:30

Predicted probability

Carlos Taberner

Spain

25.50%

Jan Kumstat

Czech Republic

74.50%

Average Odds

2.22 / 1.60

Market probability

41.88% / 58.12%

Why This Prediction?

Jan Kumstat is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1831 vs 1500), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1850 vs 1721) and a stronger serve (69.7% vs 61.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1500.2 Elo 1830.8

1721.2 Elo (surface) 1849.6

256 Wins (Challenger) 22

240 Wins (surface) 17

9 Last 15 form 14

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.178 Dominance ratio 1.224

409 Rank 336

29.0 Age 19.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Carlos Taberner

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-07-28.

Jan Kumstat

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 15W–1L · 93.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlos Taberner Jan Kumstat

1st Serve In %

61.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.18

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

52.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

23.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlos Taberner Jan Kumstat

Break Points Saved %

47.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

39.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.8%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

36.1%

28.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Carlos Taberner 0 – 0 Jan Kumstat

Clay Hamburg challenger · 2026-08-14

QF

Jan Kumstat #336

Carlos Taberner #409

7-5 0-0

1 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 2

44 Service Points 39

21 First Serve In 20

13 First Serve Won 16

11 Second Serve Won 10

5 Break Points Saved 3

7 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Carlos Taberner vs Jan Kumstat — Prediction