ATP tennis predict — Carlos Taberner vs Elmer Moller

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Carlos Taberner

Spain

55.82%

Elmer Moller

Denmark

44.18%

Average Odds

1.73 / 1.96

Market probability

53.12% / 46.88%

Why This Prediction?

Carlos Taberner is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1772 vs 1722), more wins on clay courts (243 vs 75) and a higher Elo rating (1744 vs 1685).

Player Comparison

1743.6 Elo 1684.6

1772.1 Elo (surface) 1722.3

259 Wins (Challenger) 90

243 Wins (surface) 75

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 2

1.091 Dominance ratio 1.124

425 Rank 176

29.1 Age 23.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Carlos Taberner

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-28.

Elmer Moller

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlos Taberner Elmer Moller

1st Serve In %

61.9%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

67.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.9%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.1%

37.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.0%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlos Taberner Elmer Moller

Break Points Saved %

47.0%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

39.4%

29.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.8%

57.8%

Break Points Converted %

32.7%

52.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Carlos Taberner 0 – 2 Elmer Moller

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-07

QF

Elmer Moller #184

Carlos Taberner #409

7-6 7-5

2 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 4

74 Service Points 89

49 First Serve In 48

37 First Serve Won 34

9 Second Serve Won 15

4 Break Points Saved 10

7 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Clay Augsburg CH · 2024-05-20

QF

Elmer Moller #293

Carlos Taberner #313

6-4 4-6 6-4

1 Aces 2

5 Double Faults 6

125 Service Points 102

91 First Serve In 57

56 First Serve Won 31

10 Second Serve Won 21

13 Break Points Saved 7

19 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Carlos Taberner vs Elmer Moller — Prediction