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Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Pedro Vives Marcos — Prediction

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:30

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.48  /  2.52

Market probability

63.00%  /  37.00%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1638.2 Elo 1651.0
1657.3 Elo (surface) 1661.3
92 Wins (Challenger) 18
87 Wins (surface) 6
9 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.927 Dominance ratio 1.039
347 Rank 538
26.1 Age 25.4
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Pedro Vives Marcos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlos Sanchez Jover Pedro Vives Marcos

1st Serve In %

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

38.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%
62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.0%
66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.7%
48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.0%
32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%
52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.18
0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlos Sanchez Jover Pedro Vives Marcos

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.6%
60.8%

Break Points Converted %

37.1%
45.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Carlos Sanchez Jover 00 Pedro Vives Marcos

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Carlos Sanchez Jover #347

Pedro Vives Marcos #538

2-6 7-6 6-3
1 Aces 4
2 Double Faults 3
116 Service Points 85
80 First Serve In 51
51 First Serve Won 40
22 Second Serve Won 18
7 Break Points Saved 4
9 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Carlos Sanchez Jover — Last 10

L W L L W W L W W W

Pedro Vives Marcos — Last 10

L W L W W W W W L L