ATP tennis predict — Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Lorenzo Giustino

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · R16 11:00

Predicted probability

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Spain

53.06%

Lorenzo Giustino

Italy

46.94%

Average Odds

1.84 / 1.83

Market probability

49.86% / 50.14%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1652.2 Elo 1654.8

1646.3 Elo (surface) 1631.5

95 Wins (Challenger) 250

90 Wins (surface) 178

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.949 Dominance ratio 0.976

335 Rank 216

26.2 Age 35.1

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Lorenzo Giustino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlos Sanchez Jover Lorenzo Giustino

1st Serve In %

64.0%

57.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

38.7%

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%

27.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.1%

58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.2%

77.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

51.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.6%

30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.1%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlos Sanchez Jover Lorenzo Giustino

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

49.1%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.4%

56.4%

Break Points Converted %

35.6%

35.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Carlos Sanchez Jover and Lorenzo Giustino have never played each other.

Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Lorenzo Giustino — Prediction