ATP tennis predict — Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Gonzalo Bueno

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Spain

55.60%

Gonzalo Bueno

Peru

44.40%

Average Odds

2.21 / 1.61

Market probability

42.15% / 57.85%

Why This Prediction?

Carlos Sanchez Jover is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (44.6% vs 35.0% of return points won), a higher Elo rating (1654 vs 1646) and a better head-to-head record against Gonzalo Bueno (1-0).

Player Comparison

1654.1 Elo 1645.6

1673.3 Elo (surface) 1682.8

93 Wins (Challenger) 106

88 Wins (surface) 102

10 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.952 Dominance ratio 0.714

347 Rank 172

26.1 Age 22.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Gonzalo Bueno

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlos Sanchez Jover Gonzalo Bueno

1st Serve In %

64.0%

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

62.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

38.7%

51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.0%

60.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.7%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.0%

34.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

43.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlos Sanchez Jover Gonzalo Bueno

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

68.8%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

48.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.6%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

37.1%

31.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Carlos Sanchez Jover 1 – 0 Gonzalo Bueno

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Gonzalo Bueno #172

Carlos Sanchez Jover #347

0-6 6-4 6-4

2 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 4

102 Service Points 112

72 First Serve In 64

43 First Serve Won 35

16 Second Serve Won 28

12 Break Points Saved 9

15 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Clay Punta Del Este CH · 2024-01-22

Q1

Carlos Sanchez Jover #362

Gonzalo Bueno #322

3-6 6-4 6-2

1 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 3

90 Service Points 112

55 First Serve In 60

35 First Serve Won 37

17 Second Serve Won 18

6 Break Points Saved 11

11 Break Points Faced 18

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Gonzalo Bueno — Prediction