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Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Francesco Forti — Prediction

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.98  /  1.72

Market probability

46.49%  /  53.51%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1636.0 Elo 1659.0
1629.3 Elo (surface) 1658.0
94 Wins (Challenger) 102
89 Wins (surface) 84
8 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.949 Dominance ratio 1.048
328 Rank 330
26.2 Age 27.2
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Francesco Forti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlos Sanchez Jover Francesco Forti

1st Serve In %

64.0%
56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%
67.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

38.7%
37.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%
21.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%
43.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.19
0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31
0.56

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%
58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.0%
74.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.7%
43.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.0%
40.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%
53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.18
0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlos Sanchez Jover Francesco Forti

Break Points Saved %

58.3%
40.0%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%
21.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.6%
45.3%

Break Points Converted %

37.1%
49.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Carlos Sanchez Jover and Francesco Forti have never played each other.

Carlos Sanchez Jover — Last 10

L W L L W W L W W W

Francesco Forti — Last 10

L W W W L W L W W L