ATP tennis predict — Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Filip Pieczonka

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Spain

75.67%

Filip Pieczonka

Poland

24.33%

Average Odds

1.34 / 3.03

Market probability

69.34% / 30.66%

Why This Prediction?

Carlos Sanchez Jover is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1653 vs 1489), a higher Elo rating (1656 vs 1503) and more wins on clay courts (88 vs 6).

Player Comparison

1655.9 Elo 1503.2

1652.7 Elo (surface) 1488.7

93 Wins (Challenger) 12

88 Wins (surface) 6

10 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.949 Dominance ratio 0.904

347 Rank 1207

26.2 Age 22.4

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Filip Pieczonka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlos Sanchez Jover Filip Pieczonka

1st Serve In %

64.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

38.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.19

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.0%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.7%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.0%

30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

55.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlos Sanchez Jover Filip Pieczonka

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.6%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

37.1%

43.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Carlos Sanchez Jover 0 – 0 Filip Pieczonka

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Filip Pieczonka #1207

Carlos Sanchez Jover #347

7-5 6-3

1 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

32 First Serve Won 22

9 Second Serve Won 17

7 Break Points Saved 4

12 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.0 Average Odds 1.3

Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Filip Pieczonka — Prediction