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Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Tom Gentzsch — Prediction

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · R16 10:00

Predicted probability

Tom Gentzsch

Germany

60.89%

Average Odds

2.10  /  1.66

Market probability

44.15%  /  55.85%

Why This Prediction?

Tom Gentzsch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1814 vs 1713), a higher Elo rating (1790 vs 1699) and more career match wins (63 vs 26).

Player Comparison

1698.8 Elo 1789.9
1712.9 Elo (surface) 1813.8
26 Wins (Challenger) 63
24 Wins (surface) 41
9 Last 15 form 11
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.626 Dominance ratio 0.957
386 Rank 162
20.9 Age 23.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Tom Gentzsch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlo Alberto Caniato Tom Gentzsch

1st Serve In %

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.5%
64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%
72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

67.6%
45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.5%
29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%
48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.37
0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlo Alberto Caniato Tom Gentzsch

Break Points Saved %

51.4%

Break Points Converted %

44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%
60.7%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%
43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Carlo Alberto Caniato and Tom Gentzsch have never played each other.

Carlo Alberto Caniato — Last 10

W W W W W W L W W L

Tom Gentzsch — Last 10

W L W W L L W W W W