ATP tennis predict — Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Izan Almazan Valiente

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · R16 12:00

Predicted probability

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Italy

58.48%

Izan Almazan Valiente

Spain

41.52%

Average Odds

1.48 / 2.53

Market probability

63.09% / 36.91%

Why This Prediction?

Carlo Alberto Caniato is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (72.5% vs 59.5% of service points won), a stronger return game (44.6% vs 34.6% of return points won) and fewer double faults per game (0.06 vs 0.12).

Player Comparison

1556.5 Elo 1624.5

1567.0 Elo (surface) 1610.2

21 Wins (Challenger) 13

19 Wins (surface) 6

6 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.626 Dominance ratio 0.854

534 Rank 478

20.9 Age 20.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Izan Almazan Valiente

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlo Alberto Caniato Izan Almazan Valiente

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

63.5%

58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

67.6%

46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.5%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlo Alberto Caniato Izan Almazan Valiente

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

48.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Carlo Alberto Caniato 1 – 0 Izan Almazan Valiente

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-17

R16

Carlo Alberto Caniato #534

Izan Almazan Valiente #478

6-4 6-3

1 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 4

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

32 First Serve Won 28

9 Second Serve Won 8

1 Break Points Saved 7

2 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Clay Troyes challenger · 2026-06-30

1. round

Carlo Alberto Caniato #380

Izan Almazan Valiente #598

6-2 6-1

2 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 1

39 Service Points 53

27 First Serve In 33

24 First Serve Won 17

9 Second Serve Won 9

2 Break Points Saved 4

2 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Izan Almazan Valiente — Prediction