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Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Gabriele Crivellaro — Prediction

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:30

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.14  /  5.02

Market probability

81.49%  /  18.51%

Why This Prediction?

Carlo Alberto Caniato is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (72.6% vs 56.7% of service points won), more career match wins (19 vs 3) and a stronger return game (44.4% vs 35.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1458.4 Elo 1491.5
1471.3 Elo (surface) 1520.8
19 Wins (Challenger) 3
17 Wins (surface) 3
6 Last 15 form 3
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.623 Dominance ratio 0.816
452 Rank 1359
20.8 Age 19.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Gabriele Crivellaro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlo Alberto Caniato Gabriele Crivellaro

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

63.5%
59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%
63.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

67.6%
46.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.5%
27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%
48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.37
0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlo Alberto Caniato Gabriele Crivellaro

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%
54.7%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%
42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Carlo Alberto Caniato 00 Gabriele Crivellaro

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-10

qualification - round of 16

Carlo Alberto Caniato #452

Gabriele Crivellaro #1359

6-1 6-2
- Aces -
- Double Faults -
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
- First Serve Won -
- Second Serve Won -
- Break Points Saved -
- Break Points Faced -
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.1 Average Odds 5.0

Carlo Alberto Caniato — Last 10

W W W W W W L W W L

Gabriele Crivellaro — Last 8

L L W L W L W L