ATP tennis predict — Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Federico Cecconi

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · qualification - 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Italy

92.98%

Federico Cecconi

Italy

7.02%

Average Odds

1.02 / 1.02

Market probability

50.00% / 50.00%

Why This Prediction?

Carlo Alberto Caniato is the favorite because he has more career match wins (18 vs 0), better recent form (6 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0) and a stronger serve (71.7% vs 53.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1431.3 Elo 1444.2

1445.4 Elo (surface) 1419.4

18 Wins (Challenger) 0

16 Wins (surface) 0

6 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.536 Dominance ratio 0.261

452 Rank -

20.8 Age 30.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Federico Cecconi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlo Alberto Caniato Federico Cecconi

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

63.5%

64.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

42.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

67.6%

40.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.5%

7.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

15.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.00

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlo Alberto Caniato Federico Cecconi

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

30.8%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Carlo Alberto Caniato 0 – 0 Federico Cecconi

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Carlo Alberto Caniato #452

Federico Cecconi #-

6-0 6-0

3 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 0

26 Service Points 32

16 First Serve In 25

15 First Serve Won 6

9 Second Serve Won 2

0 Break Points Saved 1

0 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 1.0

Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Federico Cecconi — Prediction