ATP tennis predict — Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Daniel Siniakov

Challenger Clay Catania challenger · 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Italy

78.52%

Daniel Siniakov

Czech Republic

21.48%

Average Odds

1.19 / 4.13

Market probability

77.63% / 22.37%

Why This Prediction?

Carlo Alberto Caniato is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1733 vs 1507), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1747 vs 1511) and a stronger serve (72.5% vs 62.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1733.5 Elo 1507.2

1747.3 Elo (surface) 1510.9

30 Wins (Challenger) 12

28 Wins (surface) 12

12 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.626 Dominance ratio 1.093

318 Rank 519

21.0 Age 23.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Daniel Siniakov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlo Alberto Caniato Daniel Siniakov

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

—

66.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

68.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

49.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlo Alberto Caniato Daniel Siniakov

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

51.2%

52.4%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

35.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Carlo Alberto Caniato 1 – 0 Daniel Siniakov

Clay Prostejov challenger · 2026-05-31

qualification - 1. round

Carlo Alberto Caniato #359

Daniel Siniakov #486

7-6 6-4

6 Aces 6

4 Double Faults 4

81 Service Points 59

47 First Serve In 39

33 First Serve Won 29

19 Second Serve Won 13

2 Break Points Saved 1

3 Break Points Faced 3

25 Winners 22

30 Unforced Errors 29

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Daniel Siniakov — Prediction