ATP tennis predict — Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alejandro Moro Canas

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · F 11:30

Predicted probability

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Italy

44.55%

Alejandro Moro Canas

Spain

55.45%

Average Odds

2.06 / 1.69

Market probability

45.07% / 54.93%

Why This Prediction?

Alejandro Moro Canas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1741 vs 1655), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1717 vs 1669) and more wins on clay courts (65 vs 22).

Player Comparison

1654.8 Elo 1740.5

1669.1 Elo (surface) 1717.0

24 Wins (Challenger) 124

22 Wins (surface) 65

7 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.626 Dominance ratio 1.129

534 Rank 240

20.9 Age 25.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlo Alberto Caniato Alejandro Moro Canas

1st Serve In %

—

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

44.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.5%

64.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

67.6%

40.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.5%

37.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

55.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carlo Alberto Caniato Alejandro Moro Canas

Break Points Saved %

—

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

—

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

59.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

43.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Carlo Alberto Caniato 0 – 0 Alejandro Moro Canas

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-20

F

Carlo Alberto Caniato #386

Alejandro Moro Canas #228

7-6 6-4

8 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

38 First Serve Won 34

13 Second Serve Won 13

4 Break Points Saved 1

4 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alejandro Moro Canas — Prediction