ATP tennis predict — Carl Emil Overbeck vs Ryan Peniston

Challenger Hard Mallorca challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Carl Emil Overbeck

Denmark

48.77%

Ryan Peniston

Great Britain

51.23%

Average Odds

1.43 / 2.65

Market probability

64.95% / 35.05%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1557.7 Elo 1540.9

1579.9 Elo (surface) 1539.3

19 Wins (Challenger) 124

19 Wins (surface) 97

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.023 Dominance ratio 1.054

296 Rank 455

25.0 Age 30.8

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Carl Emil Overbeck

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.

Ryan Peniston

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carl Emil Overbeck Ryan Peniston

1st Serve In %

—

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

65.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.2%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.4%

43.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.3%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.49

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Carl Emil Overbeck Ryan Peniston

Break Points Saved %

—

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

27.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.4%

55.1%

Break Points Converted %

48.5%

43.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Carl Emil Overbeck 0 – 0 Ryan Peniston

Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-08-31

qualification - 1. round

Carl Emil Overbeck #296

Ryan Peniston #455

6-2 6-3

1 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 12

73 Service Points 59

43 First Serve In 32

27 First Serve Won 19

16 Second Serve Won 8

5 Break Points Saved 7

7 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Carl Emil Overbeck vs Ryan Peniston — Prediction