ATP tennis predict — Cameron Norrie vs James Duckworth

ATP Hard Los Cabos · R16

Predicted probability

Cameron Norrie

Great Britain

66.95%

James Duckworth

Australia

33.05%

Average Odds

1.40 / 2.93

Market probability

67.67% / 32.33%

Why This Prediction?

Cameron Norrie is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1746 vs 1659), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1763 vs 1696) and a stronger return game (42.2% vs 38.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1745.6 Elo 1659.3

1763.1 Elo (surface) 1696.4

298 Wins 167

187 Wins (surface) 111

6 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.968 Dominance ratio 1.169

39 Rank 83

30.9 Age 34.5

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Cameron Norrie

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

James Duckworth

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 7W–6L · 53.8%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cameron Norrie James Duckworth

1st Serve In %

58.0%

55.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

50.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.7%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.1%

52.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.1%

77.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

56.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.3%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.5%

50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cameron Norrie James Duckworth

Break Points Saved %

63.9%

64.4%

Break Points Converted %

47.6%

34.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

84.6%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Cameron Norrie 0 – 0 James Duckworth

Hard Los Cabos · 2026-07-30

R16

Cameron Norrie #39

James Duckworth #83

6-4 6-4

4 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 5

52 Service Points 64

31 First Serve In 25

26 First Serve Won 18

11 Second Serve Won 15

2 Break Points Saved 5

4 Break Points Faced 9

15 Winners 24

15 Unforced Errors 36

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Cameron Norrie vs James Duckworth — Prediction