ATP tennis predict — Cameron Norrie vs Dalibor Svrcina

ATP Hard Shanghai · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Cameron Norrie

Great Britain

62.92%

Dalibor Svrcina

Czech Republic

37.08%

Average Odds

1.51 / 2.51

Market probability

62.44% / 37.56%

Why This Prediction?

Cameron Norrie is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1966 vs 1831), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1918 vs 1809) and a stronger serve (62.9% vs 58.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1966.2 Elo 1830.8

1917.9 Elo (surface) 1808.8

304 Wins 42

193 Wins (surface) 35

7 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.032 Dominance ratio 1.142

40 Rank 126

31.1 Age 24.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Cameron Norrie

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Dalibor Svrcina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cameron Norrie Dalibor Svrcina

1st Serve In %

57.9%

54.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.0%

36.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.3%

60.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.53

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.1%

55.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.1%

62.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

46.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.3%

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.5%

49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cameron Norrie Dalibor Svrcina

Break Points Saved %

64.2%

59.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.6%

47.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

52.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

42.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Cameron Norrie and Dalibor Svrcina have never played each other.

Cameron Norrie vs Dalibor Svrcina — Prediction