ATP tennis predict — Cameron Norrie vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

ATP Hard Los Cabos · 1. round

Predicted probability

Cameron Norrie

Great Britain

55.92%

Aleksandar Kovacevic

USA

44.08%

Average Odds

1.63 / 2.25

Market probability

57.99% / 42.01%

Why This Prediction?

Cameron Norrie is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1755 vs 1642), a higher Elo rating (1737 vs 1693) and more wins on hard courts (186 vs 60).

Player Comparison

1737.2 Elo 1692.7

1755.3 Elo (surface) 1642.5

297 Wins 80

186 Wins (surface) 60

6 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 2

0.925 Dominance ratio 1.209

39 Rank 95

30.9 Age 27.9

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Cameron Norrie

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cameron Norrie Aleksandar Kovacevic

1st Serve In %

58.0%

55.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

77.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

20.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.7%

46.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.1%

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.1%

72.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.3%

27.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.5%

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cameron Norrie Aleksandar Kovacevic

Break Points Saved %

63.9%

67.2%

Break Points Converted %

47.6%

36.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Cameron Norrie 0 – 2 Aleksandar Kovacevic

Hard Los Cabos · 2026-07-28

1. round

Cameron Norrie #39

Aleksandar Kovacevic #95

6-4 6-1

2 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 7

59 Service Points 54

32 First Serve In 25

25 First Serve Won 15

12 Second Serve Won 8

2 Break Points Saved 6

4 Break Points Faced 11

12 Winners 19

18 Unforced Errors 42

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Hard Brisbane · 2026-01-04

R16

Aleksandar Kovacevic #58

Cameron Norrie #28

7-6(4) 4-6 6-4

21 Aces 11

4 Double Faults 4

112 Service Points 93

62 First Serve In 59

46 First Serve Won 51

30 Second Serve Won 16

3 Break Points Saved 1

4 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Los Cabos · 2023-07-31

R16

Aleksandar Kovacevic #129

Cameron Norrie #13

5-7 7-6(7) 6-4

15 Aces 6

5 Double Faults 2

106 Service Points 115

71 First Serve In 76

57 First Serve Won 55

20 Second Serve Won 25

1 Break Points Saved 4

2 Break Points Faced 5