ATP tennis predict — Calvin Hemery vs Dusan Lajovic

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · R16 20:15

Predicted probability

Calvin Hemery

France

42.38%

Dusan Lajovic

Serbia

57.62%

Average Odds

3.27 / 1.29

Market probability

28.29% / 71.71%

Why This Prediction?

Dusan Lajovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1792 vs 1642), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1757 vs 1659) and fewer double faults per game (0.14 vs 0.18).

Player Comparison

1642.4 Elo 1792.4

1658.8 Elo (surface) 1757.1

228 Wins (Challenger) 151

146 Wins (surface) 115

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.845 Dominance ratio 1.061

328 Rank 167

31.6 Age 36.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Calvin Hemery

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Dusan Lajovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Calvin Hemery Dusan Lajovic

1st Serve In %

66.3%

67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.6%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.7%

24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.7%

40.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.5%

64.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.5%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.4%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.9%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Calvin Hemery Dusan Lajovic

Break Points Saved %

63.1%

60.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.5%

28.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.8%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%

45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Calvin Hemery 0 – 1 Dusan Lajovic

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-10

R16

Dusan Lajovic #167

Calvin Hemery #328

6-4 6-2

4 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

40 First Serve Won 25

5 Second Serve Won 11

7 Break Points Saved 0

10 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Clay Gstaad · 2015-07-27

R32

Dusan Lajovic #115

Calvin Hemery #209

7-5 6-2

4 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 5

61 Service Points 58

38 First Serve In 35

30 First Serve Won 25

14 Second Serve Won 9

4 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Calvin Hemery vs Dusan Lajovic — Prediction