ATP tennis predict — Bu Yunchaokete vs Yibing Wu

Challenger Hard Lincoln challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Bu Yunchaokete

China

59.74%

Yibing Wu

China

40.26%

Average Odds

2.22 / 1.61

Market probability

42.04% / 57.96%

Why This Prediction?

Bu Yunchaokete is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1811 vs 1755), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1720 vs 1667) and better recent form (14 wins in his last 15 matches vs 11).

Player Comparison

1810.7 Elo 1754.9

1719.9 Elo (surface) 1667.1

102 Wins (Challenger) 81

78 Wins (surface) 65

14 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.801 Dominance ratio 0.987

109 Rank 106

24.5 Age 26.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bu Yunchaokete

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Yibing Wu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bu Yunchaokete Yibing Wu

1st Serve In %

61.3%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

79.0%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.6%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.69

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

55.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.2%

48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.9%

51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bu Yunchaokete Yibing Wu

Break Points Saved %

40.5%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

38.6%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

18.6%

41.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bu Yunchaokete 0 – 0 Yibing Wu

Hard Lincoln challenger · 2026-07-17

R16

Bu Yunchaokete #109

Yibing Wu #106

6-4 6-4

5 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 1

55 Service Points 52

34 First Serve In 23

26 First Serve Won 19

10 Second Serve Won 21

1 Break Points Saved 0

3 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Bu Yunchaokete vs Yibing Wu — Prediction