ATP tennis predict — Bu Yunchaokete vs Novak Djokovic

ATP Hard Beijing · R16 04:00

Predicted probability

Bu Yunchaokete

China

29.57%

Novak Djokovic

Serbia

70.43%

Average Odds

3.68 / 1.28

Market probability

25.81% / 74.19%

Why This Prediction?

Novak Djokovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2274 vs 1911), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (2228 vs 1830) and more wins on hard courts (755 vs 36).

Player Comparison

1910.6 Elo 2274.2

1830.1 Elo (surface) 2228.0

41 Wins 1203

36 Wins (surface) 755

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.138 Dominance ratio 0.864

104 Rank 11

24.7 Age 39.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bu Yunchaokete

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Novak Djokovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bu Yunchaokete Novak Djokovic

1st Serve In %

58.8%

64.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

74.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.1%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

44.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.69

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.44

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bu Yunchaokete Novak Djokovic

Break Points Saved %

50.8%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

44.8%

24.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

38.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

18.6%

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bu Yunchaokete and Novak Djokovic have never played each other.

Bu Yunchaokete vs Novak Djokovic — Prediction