ATP tennis predict — Bu Yunchaokete vs Michael Zheng

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 2. round 22:00

Predicted probability

Bu Yunchaokete

China

57.24%

Michael Zheng

USA

42.76%

Average Odds

2.51 / 1.53

Market probability

37.87% / 62.13%

Why This Prediction?

Bu Yunchaokete is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (68.3% vs 59.7% of service points won), fewer double faults per game (0.10 vs 0.17) and more aces per game (0.31 vs 0.14).

Player Comparison

1799.0 Elo 1788.5

1728.3 Elo (surface) 1707.9

38 Wins 18

33 Wins (surface) 13

7 Last 15 form 11

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.091 Dominance ratio 1.017

124 Rank 107

24.6 Age 22.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bu Yunchaokete

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Michael Zheng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bu Yunchaokete Michael Zheng

1st Serve In %

61.3%

54.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

79.0%

69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.6%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.69

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

77.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.2%

48.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.9%

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bu Yunchaokete Michael Zheng

Break Points Saved %

40.5%

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

38.6%

69.2%

Break Points Converted %

18.6%

43.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bu Yunchaokete 1 – 0 Michael Zheng

Hard US Open · 2026-09-04

2. round

Michael Zheng #107

Bu Yunchaokete #124

6-3 2-6 6-2 6-3

8 Aces 13

8 Double Faults 5

107 Service Points 99

52 First Serve In 52

37 First Serve Won 43

24 Second Serve Won 24

5 Break Points Saved 4

11 Break Points Faced 7

26 Winners 48

39 Unforced Errors 38

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Hard Chicago CH · 2024-07-22

R32

Bu Yunchaokete #147

Michael Zheng #998

6-4 6-4

6 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 4

58 Service Points 68

35 First Serve In 36

27 First Serve Won 23

15 Second Serve Won 18

2 Break Points Saved 3

2 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Bu Yunchaokete vs Michael Zheng — Prediction