ATP tennis predict — Bu Yunchaokete vs Kamil Majchrzak

ATP Hard Hangzhou · R16 04:00

Predicted probability

Bu Yunchaokete

China

57.71%

Kamil Majchrzak

Poland

42.29%

Average Odds

2.04 / 1.75

Market probability

46.17% / 53.83%

Why This Prediction?

Bu Yunchaokete is the favorite because he has the advantage of playing in his home country, fewer double faults per game (0.09 vs 0.15) and a stronger serve (68.8% vs 67.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1893.2 Elo 1919.7

1816.8 Elo (surface) 1824.2

39 Wins 108

34 Wins (surface) 68

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.138 Dominance ratio 1.113

111 Rank 73

24.7 Age 30.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bu Yunchaokete

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Kamil Majchrzak

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bu Yunchaokete Kamil Majchrzak

1st Serve In %

59.9%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.5%

74.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

54.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

25.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.3%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.75

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.2%

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.9%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bu Yunchaokete Kamil Majchrzak

Break Points Saved %

46.9%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

32.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

38.6%

68.9%

Break Points Converted %

18.6%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bu Yunchaokete and Kamil Majchrzak have never played each other.

Bu Yunchaokete vs Kamil Majchrzak — Prediction