ATP tennis predict — Bu Yunchaokete vs Federico Cina

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 3. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Bu Yunchaokete

China

74.79%

Federico Cina

Italy

25.21%

Average Odds

1.66 / 2.10

Market probability

55.85% / 44.15%

Why This Prediction?

Bu Yunchaokete is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1799 vs 1654), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1727 vs 1646) and a stronger serve (70.0% vs 65.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1798.6 Elo 1653.7

1727.0 Elo (surface) 1645.8

37 Wins 11

32 Wins (surface) 4

6 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.100 Dominance ratio 1.084

124 Rank 181

24.6 Age 19.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bu Yunchaokete

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Federico Cina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bu Yunchaokete Federico Cina

1st Serve In %

61.3%

57.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

79.0%

73.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.6%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.69

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.2%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

33.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.9%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bu Yunchaokete Federico Cina

Break Points Saved %

40.5%

52.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

39.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

38.6%

58.5%

Break Points Converted %

18.6%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bu Yunchaokete 1 – 0 Federico Cina

Hard US Open · 2026-08-28

qualification - 3. round

Federico Cina #181

Bu Yunchaokete #124

3-6 6-4 7-5

9 Aces 10

5 Double Faults 2

100 Service Points 75

54 First Serve In 49

41 First Serve Won 36

21 Second Serve Won 14

8 Break Points Saved 0

12 Break Points Faced 4

24 Winners 31

19 Unforced Errors 14

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Hard Guangzhou CH · 2024-04-29

R32

Bu Yunchaokete #167

Federico Cina #972

6-1 6-4

11 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 2

44 Service Points 51

26 First Serve In 22

23 First Serve Won 10

11 Second Serve Won 15

2 Break Points Saved 3

2 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Bu Yunchaokete vs Federico Cina — Prediction