ATP tennis predict — Bu Yunchaokete vs Casper Ruud

ATP Hard Shanghai · 2. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Bu Yunchaokete

China

41.50%

Casper Ruud

Norway

58.50%

Average Odds

2.19 / 1.66

Market probability

43.12% / 56.88%

Why This Prediction?

Casper Ruud is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2064 vs 1922), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1920 vs 1844) and a stronger return game (37.5% vs 35.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1921.8 Elo 2063.9

1843.8 Elo (surface) 1920.0

42 Wins 352

37 Wins (surface) 157

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.138 Dominance ratio 1.149

93 Rank 24

24.7 Age 27.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bu Yunchaokete

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Casper Ruud

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bu Yunchaokete Casper Ruud

1st Serve In %

59.5%

63.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.6%

75.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

53.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.7%

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.8%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.2%

49.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.9%

56.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bu Yunchaokete Casper Ruud

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

73.2%

Break Points Converted %

44.2%

38.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

38.6%

53.2%

Break Points Converted %

18.6%

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bu Yunchaokete 0 – 1 Casper Ruud

Hard Us Open · 2024-08-26

R128

Casper Ruud #8

Bu Yunchaokete #123

7-6(2) 6-2 6-2

14 Aces 11

6 Double Faults 2

79 Service Points 92

42 First Serve In 46

37 First Serve Won 31

21 Second Serve Won 15

1 Break Points Saved 3

3 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Bu Yunchaokete vs Casper Ruud — Prediction