ATP tennis predict — Bu Yunchaokete vs Borna Gojo

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 2. round 23:00

Predicted probability

Bu Yunchaokete

China

66.97%

Borna Gojo

Croatia

33.03%

Average Odds

1.65 / 2.11

Market probability

56.12% / 43.88%

Why This Prediction?

Bu Yunchaokete is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1789 vs 1663), a better head-to-head record against Borna Gojo (1-0) and a stronger return game (32.6% vs 31.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1788.6 Elo 1663.5

1709.9 Elo (surface) 1715.4

36 Wins 59

31 Wins (surface) 41

6 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.053 Dominance ratio 0.872

124 Rank 162

24.6 Age 28.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bu Yunchaokete

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Borna Gojo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bu Yunchaokete Borna Gojo

1st Serve In %

61.3%

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

79.0%

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

42.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.6%

21.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.69

0.76

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

78.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.2%

43.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

24.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.9%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bu Yunchaokete Borna Gojo

Break Points Saved %

40.5%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

38.6%

68.1%

Break Points Converted %

18.6%

29.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bu Yunchaokete 1 – 0 Borna Gojo

Hard US Open · 2026-08-26

qualification - 2. round

Bu Yunchaokete #124

Borna Gojo #162

6-4 6-4

9 Aces 11

2 Double Faults 2

53 Service Points 63

35 First Serve In 42

31 First Serve Won 34

10 Second Serve Won 6

0 Break Points Saved 3

0 Break Points Faced 5

18 Winners 24

13 Unforced Errors 20

1.6 Average Odds 2.1

Hard Us Open · 2024-08-26

Q2

Bu Yunchaokete #123

Borna Gojo #204

6-4 6-4

8 Aces 13

1 Double Faults 3

73 Service Points 56

43 First Serve In 28

33 First Serve Won 22

16 Second Serve Won 14

7 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Bu Yunchaokete vs Borna Gojo — Prediction