ATP tennis predict — Bryce Nakashima vs Kaylan Bigun

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · qualification - 1. round 22:00

Predicted probability

Bryce Nakashima

USA

37.08%

Kaylan Bigun

USA

62.92%

Average Odds

1.70 / 1.99

Market probability

53.93% / 46.07%

Why This Prediction?

Kaylan Bigun is the favorite because he has better recent form (4 wins in his last 15 matches vs 1), more wins on hard courts (10 vs 1) and more career match wins (14 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1393.3 Elo 1380.1

1389.8 Elo (surface) 1361.0

1 Wins (Challenger) 14

1 Wins (surface) 10

1 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.063 Dominance ratio 0.990

872 Rank 586

22.6 Age 20.3

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bryce Nakashima

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Kaylan Bigun

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bryce Nakashima Kaylan Bigun

1st Serve In %

—

38.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

65.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

56.5%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.73

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.5%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.4%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

33.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.61

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bryce Nakashima Kaylan Bigun

Break Points Saved %

—

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

16.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.0%

55.0%

Break Points Converted %

44.7%

41.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bryce Nakashima 0 – 0 Kaylan Bigun

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-14

qualification - 1. round

Bryce Nakashima #711

Kaylan Bigun #582

7-5 6-0

5 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 6

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

18 First Serve Won 16

18 Second Serve Won 9

2 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Bryce Nakashima vs Kaylan Bigun — Prediction