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Bryce Nakashima vs Jack Kennedy — Prediction

Challenger Hard Columbus 3 challenger · 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Jack Kennedy

USA

39.98%

Average Odds

1.60  /  2.22

Market probability

58.12%  /  41.88%

Why This Prediction?

Bryce Nakashima is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1604 vs 1486), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1587 vs 1478) and more career match wins (5 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1604.3 Elo 1485.6
1587.1 Elo (surface) 1478.3
5 Wins (Challenger) 2
5 Wins (surface) 2
5 Last 15 form 2
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.063 Dominance ratio 1.158
599 Rank 393
22.6 Age 18.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bryce Nakashima

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Jack Kennedy

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bryce Nakashima Jack Kennedy

1st Serve In %

—
60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
61.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
16.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
45.0%

Aces per Service Game

—
0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

—
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.5%
58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.4%
73.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%
41.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%
32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%
57.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.61
0.71

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bryce Nakashima Jack Kennedy

Break Points Saved %

—
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

—
22.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.0%
59.5%

Break Points Converted %

44.7%
48.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bryce Nakashima and Jack Kennedy have never played each other.

Bryce Nakashima — Last 10

L W W W W L L W L L

Jack Kennedy — Last 7

L L L L W W L