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Bruno Kuzuhara vs Thomas Fancutt — Prediction

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16 18:30

Predicted probability

Bruno Kuzuhara

USA

69.39%

Thomas Fancutt

Australia

30.61%

Average Odds

1.44  /  2.59

Market probability

64.27%  /  35.73%

Why This Prediction?

Bruno Kuzuhara is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1471 vs 1454), more wins on hard courts (2 vs 0) and a stronger return game (37.9% vs 32.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1471.3 Elo 1454.3
1428.8 Elo (surface) 1455.2
46 Wins (Challenger) 42
17 Wins (surface) 36
9 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.039 Dominance ratio 0.838
596 Rank 810
22.4 Age 31.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bruno Kuzuhara

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Thomas Fancutt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bruno Kuzuhara Thomas Fancutt

1st Serve In %

67.5%
54.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.5%
65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%
51.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.7%
17.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%
43.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.32
0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.8%
66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%
67.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%
47.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%
17.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%
42.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bruno Kuzuhara Thomas Fancutt

Break Points Saved %

51.3%
59.1%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%
40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.8%
61.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.6%
21.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bruno Kuzuhara 00 Thomas Fancutt

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-24

qualification - round of 16

Thomas Fancutt #790

Bruno Kuzuhara #625

6-4 6-4
2 Aces 6
3 Double Faults 5
60 Service Points 60
40 First Serve In 35
29 First Serve Won 31
9 Second Serve Won 13
1 Break Points Saved 4
3 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.6 Average Odds 1.4

Bruno Kuzuhara — Last 10

L W L W W L L W L W

Thomas Fancutt — Last 10

L L W L L W W W L L