ATP tennis predict — Bruno Kuzuhara vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Bruno Kuzuhara

USA

35.80%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Spain

64.20%

Average Odds

4.01 / 1.22

Market probability

23.33% / 76.67%

Why This Prediction?

Pablo Llamas Ruiz is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1571 vs 1427), a higher Elo rating (1615 vs 1473) and a stronger return game (43.9% vs 38.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1473.2 Elo 1614.7

1427.0 Elo (surface) 1570.9

45 Wins (Challenger) 87

16 Wins (surface) 19

9 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.066 Dominance ratio 1.226

616 Rank 117

22.3 Age 23.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bruno Kuzuhara

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bruno Kuzuhara Pablo Llamas Ruiz

1st Serve In %

67.5%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.5%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

55.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.7%

30.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

49.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.8%

66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

54.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.08

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bruno Kuzuhara Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Break Points Saved %

51.3%

63.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.8%

56.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.6%

38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bruno Kuzuhara 0 – 0 Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Pablo Llamas Ruiz #117

Bruno Kuzuhara #616

6-3 6-4

2 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 3

52 Service Points 62

37 First Serve In 39

26 First Serve Won 29

8 Second Serve Won 15

4 Break Points Saved 0

6 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.0

Bruno Kuzuhara vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz — Prediction