ATP tennis predict — Bruno Kuzuhara vs Kody Pearson

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 17:30

Predicted probability

Bruno Kuzuhara

USA

74.62%

Kody Pearson

Australia

25.38%

Average Odds

1.17 / 4.62

Market probability

79.79% / 20.21%

Why This Prediction?

Bruno Kuzuhara is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1462 vs 1277), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1412 vs 1299) and more wins on hard courts (2 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1462.0 Elo 1276.8

1411.7 Elo (surface) 1298.7

45 Wins (Challenger) 7

16 Wins (surface) 7

9 Last 15 form 5

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.055 Dominance ratio 1.041

596 Rank 1137

22.4 Age 27.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bruno Kuzuhara

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Kody Pearson

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bruno Kuzuhara Kody Pearson

1st Serve In %

67.5%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

62.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.32

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.8%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bruno Kuzuhara Kody Pearson

Break Points Saved %

51.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.8%

68.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.6%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bruno Kuzuhara 1 – 0 Kody Pearson

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-23

qualification - 1. round

Bruno Kuzuhara #596

Kody Pearson #1137

6-1 6-4

0 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 7

47 Service Points 69

33 First Serve In 37

22 First Serve Won 24

8 Second Serve Won 9

2 Break Points Saved 9

3 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.6

Hard Bloomfield Hills CH · 2024-07-01

Q1

Bruno Kuzuhara #417

Kody Pearson #811

6-1 6-4

1 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 3

70 Service Points 41

44 First Serve In 23

31 First Serve Won 12

13 Second Serve Won 8

5 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Bruno Kuzuhara vs Kody Pearson — Prediction