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Bruno Fernandez vs Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto — Prediction

Challenger Clay Curitiba challenger · qualification - round of 16 15:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.49  /  2.45

Market probability

62.18%  /  37.82%

Why This Prediction?

Bruno Fernandez is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1425 vs 1374), a stronger serve (62.5% vs 54.8% of service points won) and more career match wins (14 vs 4).

Player Comparison

1424.8 Elo 1374.0
1432.2 Elo (surface) 1384.8
14 Wins (Challenger) 4
14 Wins (surface) 4
6 Last 15 form 4
1 Head-to-head wins 0
1.166 Dominance ratio 0.971
597 Rank 854
22.2 Age None
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bruno Fernandez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bruno Fernandez Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

68.3%
61.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%
64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%
42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.7%
34.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%
55.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.25
0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.45

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bruno Fernandez Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

61.9%
57.4%

Break Points Converted %

49.3%
40.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bruno Fernandez 1 – 0 Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto

Clay Santos CH · 2026-05-04
1 Aces 2
8 Double Faults 4
96 Service Points 76
60 First Serve In 51
41 First Serve Won 32
15 Second Serve Won 9
5 Break Points Saved 5
8 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Bruno Fernandez — Last 10

W L L W L L L L L L

Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto — Last 10

W L L W L W W L L L