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Bruno Fernandez vs Tomas Farjat — Prediction

Challenger Clay Buenos Aires challenger · qualification - round of 16 18:00

Predicted probability

Bruno Fernandez

Brazil

36.50%

Tomas Farjat

Argentina

63.50%

Average Odds

1.20  /  3.81

Market probability

76.05%  /  23.95%

Why This Prediction?

Tomas Farjat is the favorite because he has the advantage of playing in his home country, more career match wins (35 vs 13) and better recent form (6 wins in his last 15 matches vs 5).

Player Comparison

1444.2 Elo 1423.5
1448.4 Elo (surface) 1442.4
13 Wins (Challenger) 35
13 Wins (surface) 32
5 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.166 Dominance ratio 0.889
613 Rank 835
22.2 Age 25.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bruno Fernandez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Tomas Farjat

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bruno Fernandez Tomas Farjat

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

67.2%
53.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%
71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%
39.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.2%
35.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.2%
46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.21
0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bruno Fernandez Tomas Farjat

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

61.9%
58.9%

Break Points Converted %

50.7%
35.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bruno Fernandez 00 Tomas Farjat

Clay Buenos Aires challenger · 2026-09-21

qualification - round of 16

Tomas Farjat #835

Bruno Fernandez #613

6-4 6-2
1 Aces 5
3 Double Faults 1
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
27 First Serve Won 33
8 Second Serve Won 9
7 Break Points Saved 7
11 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
3.8 Average Odds 1.2

Bruno Fernandez — Last 10

L L W L L L L L L L

Tomas Farjat — Last 10

L W W L W W L L L L