ATP tennis predict — Brandon Nakashima vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry

ATP Hard Washington · 1. round

Predicted probability

Brandon Nakashima

USA

67.01%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Argentina

32.99%

Average Odds

1.40 / 2.94

Market probability

67.74% / 32.26%

Why This Prediction?

Brandon Nakashima is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1766 vs 1693), a higher Elo rating (1776 vs 1706) and a stronger return game (36.9% vs 36.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1775.5 Elo 1705.9

1765.5 Elo (surface) 1692.9

170 Wins 133

113 Wins (surface) 51

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.101 Dominance ratio 1.157

33 Rank 31

25.0 Age 27.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Brandon Nakashima

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Brandon Nakashima Tomas Martin Etcheverry

1st Serve In %

59.0%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.8%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.7%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.4%

68.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.3%

72.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.6%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Brandon Nakashima Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Break Points Saved %

73.2%

57.7%

Break Points Converted %

37.9%

39.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

64.8%

Break Points Converted %

46.0%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Brandon Nakashima 0 – 1 Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Hard Washington · 2026-07-28

1. round

Brandon Nakashima #33

Tomas Martin Etcheverry #31

6-3 6-4

8 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 3

52 Service Points 44

36 First Serve In 30

29 First Serve Won 22

10 Second Serve Won 6

0 Break Points Saved 0

1 Break Points Faced 3

22 Winners 9

21 Unforced Errors 22

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Clay Barcelona · 2024-04-15

R16

Tomas Martin Etcheverry #30

Brandon Nakashima #87

3-6 7-6(5) 6-4

6 Aces 14

3 Double Faults 0

93 Service Points 125

62 First Serve In 77

48 First Serve Won 53

14 Second Serve Won 26

2 Break Points Saved 10

4 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Brandon Nakashima vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry — Prediction