ATP tennis predict — Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet

ATP Hard Montreal · 3. round 02:00

Predicted probability

Brandon Nakashima

USA

69.81%

Titouan Droguet

France

30.19%

Average Odds

1.26 / 3.90

Market probability

75.58% / 24.42%

Why This Prediction?

Brandon Nakashima is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1797 vs 1669), a higher Elo rating (1814 vs 1773) and a stronger serve (69.3% vs 58.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1814.3 Elo 1772.6

1797.2 Elo (surface) 1669.0

174 Wins 43

117 Wins (surface) 22

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.237 Dominance ratio 0.878

31 Rank 119

25.0 Age 25.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Brandon Nakashima

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Titouan Droguet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Brandon Nakashima Titouan Droguet

1st Serve In %

59.0%

56.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.8%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.7%

50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

73.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Brandon Nakashima Titouan Droguet

Break Points Saved %

73.2%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

37.9%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

68.0%

Break Points Converted %

46.0%

43.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Brandon Nakashima 0 – 0 Titouan Droguet

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-07

3. round

Brandon Nakashima #31

Titouan Droguet #119

4-6 6-2 7-5

5 Aces 10

1 Double Faults 5

77 Service Points 118

45 First Serve In 64

38 First Serve Won 46

20 Second Serve Won 22

4 Break Points Saved 11

6 Break Points Faced 15

35 Winners 32

34 Unforced Errors 44

1.3 Average Odds 3.9

Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet — Prediction