ATP tennis predict — Brandon Nakashima vs Daniel Altmaier

ATP Hard Montreal · 2. round 00:40

Predicted probability

Brandon Nakashima

USA

69.80%

Daniel Altmaier

Germany

30.20%

Average Odds

1.29 / 3.60

Market probability

73.62% / 26.38%

Why This Prediction?

Brandon Nakashima is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1791 vs 1604), a higher Elo rating (1805 vs 1766) and fewer double faults per game (0.06 vs 0.09).

Player Comparison

1804.6 Elo 1765.8

1790.9 Elo (surface) 1604.4

173 Wins 115

116 Wins (surface) 42

10 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.181 Dominance ratio 1.180

31 Rank 60

25.0 Age 27.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Brandon Nakashima

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Daniel Altmaier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Brandon Nakashima Daniel Altmaier

1st Serve In %

59.0%

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.8%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%

43.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.7%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.4%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.3%

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.6%

50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

38.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Brandon Nakashima Daniel Altmaier

Break Points Saved %

73.2%

61.4%

Break Points Converted %

37.9%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

46.0%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Brandon Nakashima 1 – 0 Daniel Altmaier

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-05

2. round

Brandon Nakashima #31

Daniel Altmaier #60

6-2 6-1

6 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 3

41 Service Points 52

26 First Serve In 34

24 First Serve Won 18

9 Second Serve Won 7

3 Break Points Saved 3

3 Break Points Faced 7

21 Winners 10

9 Unforced Errors 25

1.3 Average Odds 3.6

Hard Acapulco · 2023-02-27

R32

Brandon Nakashima #49

Daniel Altmaier #95

6-3 3-6 6-1

5 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 3

78 Service Points 76

51 First Serve In 43

41 First Serve Won 27

12 Second Serve Won 19

4 Break Points Saved 6

5 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Brandon Nakashima vs Daniel Altmaier — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Brandon Nakashima — Last 10

Daniel Altmaier — Last 10