ATP tennis predict — Braden Shick vs Patrick Maloney

Challenger Hard San Diego 2 challenger · 1. round 23:00

Predicted probability

Braden Shick

USA

74.50%

Patrick Maloney

USA

25.50%

Average Odds

1.36 / 2.74

Market probability

66.83% / 33.17%

Why This Prediction?

Braden Shick is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1732 vs 1507), a higher Elo rating (1737 vs 1565) and more aces per game (0.25 vs 0.21).

Player Comparison

1736.8 Elo 1564.9

1732.1 Elo (surface) 1507.1

20 Wins (Challenger) 36

18 Wins (surface) 25

10 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.845 Dominance ratio 0.867

202 Rank -

22.9 Age 26.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Braden Shick

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Patrick Maloney

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Braden Shick Patrick Maloney

1st Serve In %

55.7%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.6%

73.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.7%

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.2%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.95

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.47

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

65.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

25.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.3%

54.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.66

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Braden Shick Patrick Maloney

Break Points Saved %

62.1%

41.7%

Break Points Converted %

31.6%

13.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

55.4%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Braden Shick 0 – 0 Patrick Maloney

Hard San Diego 2 challenger · 2026-09-21

1. round

Patrick Maloney #-

Braden Shick #202

6-3 7-6

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.7 Average Odds 1.4

Braden Shick vs Patrick Maloney — Prediction