ATP tennis predict — Braden Shick vs Ozan Baris

Challenger Hard Columbus 3 challenger · 1. round 22:00

Predicted probability

Braden Shick

USA

65.35%

Ozan Baris

USA

34.65%

Average Odds

1.59 / 2.20

Market probability

58.05% / 41.95%

Why This Prediction?

Braden Shick is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1687 vs 1551), a higher Elo rating (1697 vs 1575) and better recent form (1 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1696.7 Elo 1575.1

1686.8 Elo (surface) 1551.3

20 Wins (Challenger) 19

18 Wins (surface) 18

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.845 Dominance ratio 0.943

207 Rank 404

22.9 Age 22.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Braden Shick

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Ozan Baris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Braden Shick Ozan Baris

1st Serve In %

55.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

61.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.2%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.54

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.3%

54.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Braden Shick Ozan Baris

Break Points Saved %

62.1%

—

Break Points Converted %

31.6%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

47.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Braden Shick and Ozan Baris have never played each other.

Braden Shick vs Ozan Baris — Prediction