ATP tennis predict — Braden Shick vs J J Wolf

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · R16 19:00

Predicted probability

Braden Shick

USA

43.67%

J J Wolf

USA

56.33%

Average Odds

3.33 / 1.27

Market probability

27.61% / 72.39%

Why This Prediction?

J J Wolf is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (64.5% vs 51.4% of service points won), more wins on hard courts (62 vs 1) and a higher Elo rating (1784 vs 1763).

Player Comparison

1762.8 Elo 1784.4

1761.4 Elo (surface) 1759.7

20 Wins (Challenger) 111

18 Wins (surface) 101

11 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.845 Dominance ratio 1.016

206 Rank 246

22.9 Age 27.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Braden Shick

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

J J Wolf

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–5L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Braden Shick J J Wolf

1st Serve In %

55.7%

54.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.6%

71.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.7%

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.2%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

22.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.3%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Braden Shick J J Wolf

Break Points Saved %

62.1%

53.3%

Break Points Converted %

31.6%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

32.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Braden Shick 0 – 0 J J Wolf

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-16

R16

J J Wolf #246

Braden Shick #206

6-4 6-7 6-4

3 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

44 First Serve Won 45

24 Second Serve Won 27

9 Break Points Saved 5

12 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Braden Shick vs J J Wolf — Prediction