ATP tennis predict — Braden Shick vs Clement Tabur

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Braden Shick

USA

57.99%

Clement Tabur

France

42.01%

Average Odds

2.20 / 1.63

Market probability

42.56% / 57.44%

Why This Prediction?

Braden Shick is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1683 vs 1627), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1718 vs 1660) and better recent form (11 wins in his last 15 matches vs 9).

Player Comparison

1683.3 Elo 1627.4

1718.1 Elo (surface) 1659.6

0 Wins 17

0 Wins (surface) 5

0 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.591 Dominance ratio 0.974

215 Rank 159

22.8 Age 26.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Braden Shick

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Clement Tabur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Braden Shick Clement Tabur

1st Serve In %

55.7%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.6%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.7%

56.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.2%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

64.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

34.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.3%

44.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Braden Shick Clement Tabur

Break Points Saved %

62.1%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

31.6%

32.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

46.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

28.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Braden Shick 0 – 0 Clement Tabur

Hard US Open · 2026-08-25

qualification - 1. round

Braden Shick #215

Clement Tabur #159

6-4 7-5

11 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 2

86 Service Points 68

48 First Serve In 36

34 First Serve Won 25

21 Second Serve Won 18

11 Break Points Saved 8

12 Break Points Faced 11

20 Winners 25

13 Unforced Errors 21

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Braden Shick vs Clement Tabur — Prediction