ATP tennis predict — Braden Shick vs Benjamin Thomas George

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Braden Shick

USA

79.36%

Benjamin Thomas George

Canada

20.64%

Average Odds

1.09 / 6.30

Market probability

85.25% / 14.75%

Why This Prediction?

Braden Shick is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1643 vs 1380), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1679 vs 1464) and fewer double faults per game (0.13 vs 0.27).

Player Comparison

1642.5 Elo 1380.0

1678.9 Elo (surface) 1463.7

15 Wins (Challenger) 10

13 Wins (surface) 8

11 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.933 Dominance ratio 1.022

234 Rank 935

22.8 Age 23.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Braden Shick

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Benjamin Thomas George

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Braden Shick Benjamin Thomas George

1st Serve In %

55.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

61.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.2%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.54

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

63.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

64.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

35.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.3%

54.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.09

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.53

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Braden Shick Benjamin Thomas George

Break Points Saved %

62.1%

—

Break Points Converted %

31.6%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

57.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

43.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Braden Shick 0 – 0 Benjamin Thomas George

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-27

qualification - 1. round

Braden Shick #234

Benjamin Thomas George #969

6-7 6-2 7-5

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 6.3

Braden Shick vs Benjamin Thomas George — Prediction