ATP tennis predict — Braden Shick vs Andres Andrade

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Braden Shick

USA

64.83%

Andres Andrade

Ecuador

35.17%

Average Odds

1.89 / 1.84

Market probability

49.33% / 50.67%

Why This Prediction?

Braden Shick is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1733 vs 1560), a higher Elo rating (1692 vs 1559) and fewer double faults per game (0.15 vs 0.22).

Player Comparison

1692.2 Elo 1559.3

1732.8 Elo (surface) 1560.3

18 Wins (Challenger) 68

16 Wins (surface) 33

12 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.894 Dominance ratio 0.967

234 Rank 262

22.8 Age 27.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Braden Shick

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Andres Andrade

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Braden Shick Andres Andrade

1st Serve In %

55.7%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.6%

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.7%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.2%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

57.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.3%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Braden Shick Andres Andrade

Break Points Saved %

62.1%

80.0%

Break Points Converted %

31.6%

55.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

45.6%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

35.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Braden Shick 0 – 1 Andres Andrade

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-30

R16

Braden Shick #234

Andres Andrade #262

6-2 6-3

7 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 5

56 Service Points 53

35 First Serve In 27

25 First Serve Won 16

13 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Hard Baton Rouge CH · 2026-02-09

QF

Andres Andrade #254

Braden Shick #483

W/O

0 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 0

0 Service Points 0

0 First Serve In 0

0 First Serve Won 0

0 Second Serve Won 0

0 Break Points Saved 0

0 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Braden Shick vs Andres Andrade — Prediction