ATP tennis predict — Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Valentin Royer

ATP Hard Beijing · qualification - round of 16 11:45

Predicted probability

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Netherlands

57.20%

Valentin Royer

France

42.80%

Average Odds

1.54 / 2.40

Market probability

60.91% / 39.09%

Why This Prediction?

Botic Van De Zandschulp is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1944 vs 1845), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1914 vs 1770) and more wins on hard courts (119 vs 26).

Player Comparison

1944.4 Elo 1845.3

1913.6 Elo (surface) 1769.8

176 Wins 35

119 Wins (surface) 26

10 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.140 Dominance ratio 0.979

40 Rank 105

31.0 Age 25.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–2L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Valentin Royer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Botic Van De Zandschulp Valentin Royer

1st Serve In %

57.9%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.2%

73.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.3%

45.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

56.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.6%

39.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.0%

60.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Botic Van De Zandschulp Valentin Royer

Break Points Saved %

61.2%

58.8%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

64.7%

Break Points Converted %

45.1%

45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Botic Van De Zandschulp and Valentin Royer have never played each other.

Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Valentin Royer — Prediction